Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
60 Oakland 100.0%   13   24 - 9 17 - 1 24 - 9 17 - 1 +8.8      +4.6 53 +4.1 62 81.2 10 +9.4 53 +14.1 1
115 South Dakota St. 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 8 17 - 12 10 - 8 +3.2      +1.9 105 +1.3 126 72.4 69 +0.4 157 -1.6 5
122 Oral Roberts 0.0%   19 - 15 13 - 5 19 - 15 13 - 5 +2.8      +1.6 114 +1.2 130 69.1 147 +2.2 137 +3.9 2
139 IUPUI 0.0%   17 - 14 12 - 6 17 - 14 12 - 6 +1.9      +1.2 129 +0.7 146 60.0 323 +2.3 134 +2.1 3
171 North Dakota St. 0.0%   12 - 15 8 - 10 12 - 15 8 - 10 -0.4      -0.2 173 -0.2 171 71.9 75 -3.1 214 -4.7 7
186 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 7 17 - 12 11 - 7 -1.2      -0.5 182 -0.7 188 67.3 192 +0.3 160 +0.8 4
263 Southern Utah 0.0%   10 - 18 7 - 11 10 - 18 7 - 11 -6.1      -3.0 260 -3.1 267 69.6 133 -6.6 265 -5.7 8
276 UMKC 0.0%   15 - 14 9 - 9 15 - 14 9 - 9 -6.9      -3.4 270 -3.6 278 66.1 227 -2.5 203 -1.9 6
329 Western Illinois 0.0%   4 - 23 2 - 16 4 - 23 2 - 16 -13.7      -7.0 330 -6.7 328 59.9 324 -15.7 334 -17.9 9
343 Centenary (LA) 0.0%   1 - 27 1 - 17 1 - 27 1 - 17 -20.8      -10.5 343 -10.3 343 74.4 43 -22.0 344 -20.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Oakland 1.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 5.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 2.0 100.0
IUPUI 3.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 7.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.0 100.0
Southern Utah 8.0 100.0
UMKC 6.0 100.0
Western Illinois 9.0 100.0
Centenary (LA) 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Oakland 17 - 1 100.0
South Dakota St. 10 - 8 100.0
Oral Roberts 13 - 5 100.0
IUPUI 12 - 6 100.0
North Dakota St. 8 - 10 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 7 100.0
Southern Utah 7 - 11 100.0
UMKC 9 - 9 100.0
Western Illinois 2 - 16 100.0
Centenary (LA) 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oakland 100.0% 100.0
South Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
IUPUI
North Dakota St.
Purdue Fort Wayne
Southern Utah
UMKC
Western Illinois
Centenary (LA)


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oakland 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.2 5.4 86.8 7.6 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Centenary (LA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oakland 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.2% 8.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Centenary (LA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 25.2% 0.3 74.8 25.2
Sweet Sixteen 8.9% 0.1 91.1 8.9
Elite Eight 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Final Four 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.5
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0